13/03/2025
Budget 2025
This is the most important budget we have faced for thirty years. It effects all businesses and citizens that root for South Africa.
It's rare to find agreement between the DA, EFF, and MK, but let me explain the urgency of this budget. (No politician will give you a straight answer.)
Without savings, you cannot get investment, and without investment, an economy cannot grow. With a rising population, low growth will lead to increased unemployment. The current 2025 budget trajectory predicts an increase in unemployment by 500,000, as new graduates struggle to find jobs in 2026.
Fixed investment in South Africa (12%) is about one-third of what it should be, and taxes are almost double what they should be for a growing economy. Additionally, we have one of the lowest savings rates in the world, meaning we must attract outside investment funded by the savings of others. What investors want is crucial.
It doesn't matter if you think Afriforum are traitors, LGBTs should have separate bathrooms, Palestinians are persecuted, or black people need the stolen land back – the only thing that matters is what investors think. John Steenhuizen's point about expropriation is that EWC has as much appeal to investors as Elon Musk has for a wet joint.
BEE may be well-intended, but it often leads to cadre deployment, which is at the core of Budget 2025. It perpetuates bloated largess, from a Cabinet of 72 ministers and deputies to nine redundant Parliaments, 37 SANDF Generals, and 55,000 public servants earning more than R1 million a year. These are the people pushing for cuts in social grants.
Our external investors are from the UK, USA, Germany, and Japan. China, Russia, Saudi and India are not investors; they have their own problems and take our investment. I will even argue that SADAC are our investors. Shaking your fist at our investors may give you personal satisfaction, but each time you do so, you knock over some poor kid's bowl of cereal.
Now, the part you won't hear from politicians: This budget is a trade-off between the public service, who want to continue disinvesting while keeping their snouts in the trough, and those who can see further, understanding that investment is key.
And that is how we find ourselves in a strange world where the DA, MK, and EFF are on the same side of an argument.
TurboCASH Accounting for Capetonians