Kevin's Politics Blog

09/09/2026

Live: King Harald V’s Funeral in Oslo

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09/02/2026

The Clock in Tehran: A war economy in free fall, the Syrian template, and why Beijing and Moscow may decide the mullahs are worth more falling than standing

There is a particular kind of silence that settles over a regime when the money stops arriving. It is not the silence of peace. It is the silence of a treasury that can no longer buy the loyalty it depends on, of a central bank governor rehearsing bad news he cannot deliver, of a security apparatus quietly recalculating what it is being paid to die for. That silence is now audible in Tehran. The question that should occupy anyone watching the Middle East is not whether the Islamic Republic is in crisis...

There is a particular kind of silence that settles over a regime when the money stops arriving. It is not the silence of peace. It is the silence of a treasury that can no longer buy the loyalty it…

08/28/2026

Zambia’s August Election: A Test of Democratic Resilience and Economic Credibility

Zambia’s August 13 election will test democratic credibility, debt-restructuring politics and the country’s economic path after default....

Zambia’s August 13 election will test democratic credibility, debt-restructuring politics and the country’s economic path after default.

08/28/2026

Iran’s Nuclear Program at a Crossroads: IAEA Board Meeting and the Delicate Balance of War, Sanctions, and Diplomacy

The IAEA Board of Governors meets in August 2026 amid unprecedented complexity: a year of U.S.-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, U.S.-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations, and the fragile question of whether inspection access can be maintained without a formal agreement....

The IAEA Board of Governors meets in August 2026 amid unprecedented complexity: a year of U.S.-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, U.S.-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations, …

08/28/2026

The August 19 Tariff Deadline: North American Integration Under Strain

A 50 percent tariff scheduled for August 19 tests whether North American integration can survive a new era of policy uncertainty....

08/28/2026

The August Security Council: Denmark’s Presidency and the Limits of Agenda Power

Denmark’s August presidency of the UN Security Council will test how far procedural stewardship can produce diplomatic movement amid conflicts from Sudan to Ukraine....

Denmark’s August presidency of the UN Security Council will test how far procedural stewardship can produce diplomatic movement amid conflicts from Sudan to Ukraine.

08/28/2026

Ukraine’s August 24: Independence, War, and the Politics of Endurance

Ukraine’s August 24 anniversary will test whether public solidarity is being translated into durable military, financial and diplomatic support....

08/28/2026

The August Primaries: America’s Midterm Coalition Begins to Take Shape

The August 11 and August 18 primaries will begin to reveal the coalitions, candidates and foreign-policy implications of America’s 2026 midterm elections....

The August 11 and August 18 primaries will begin to reveal the coalitions, candidates and foreign-policy implications of America’s 2026 midterm elections.

08/28/2026

Kazakhstan’s August 23 Vote: A New Parliament, an Old Geopolitical Balancing Act

Kazakhstan’s August 23 parliamentary vote will turn constitutional reform into an institutional test—and expose the limits of its multi-vector diplomacy....

08/28/2026

AMERICAN POLITICS · THE 2028 MAP

A stochastic model of 2028 keeps returning the same three verdicts: a coin-flip map, a Congress that cannot govern itself, and two parties drifting quietly back toward their governors....

A stochastic model of 2028 keeps returning the same three verdicts: a coin-flip map, a Congress that cannot govern itself, and two parties drifting quietly back toward their governors.