Earthquake Prediction Research Project

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SeismicShield is a next-generation earthquake early-warning and ionospheric anomaly detection platform.

We leverage atmospheric signal monitoring and AI-driven planetary-alignment analytics to generate deeper seismic risk insights and faster early alerts. Earthquake Prediction Research Project is a non-profit project that is entirely driven by volunteers and those who support us. With your help, we can keep this system (Data Logger) running and continue our work! https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/earthquakeproject
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05/01/2026

EXECUTIVE EARTHQUAKE SITUATION REPORT & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Event: Morigaon–Dhing, Assam
Date/Time: 5 January 2026 | 04:17 IST
Magnitude: M5.2–5.4 (agency-dependent)
Depth: 10–35 km
Status: Confirmed | Reviewed

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1. EVENT SNAPSHOT (TOP-LINE)

At 04:17 AM IST on 5 January 2026, a moderate but widely felt earthquake impacted Central Assam, with the epicentral zone between Morigaon and Dhing. Despite the moderate magnitude, shallow depth and regional geology amplified felt shaking, triggering widespread public response across Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, North Bengal, Bangladesh, Bhutan, and parts of China.

Bottom line: High perceptibility, low structural damage, zero confirmed fatalities.

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2. SEISMIC PARAMETERS – CONSOLIDATED VIEW

Magnitude dispersion: 5.1–5.4 (USGS, EMSC, GFZ, IRIS, RaspberryShake)

Epicenter: ~26.37°N, 92.39°E

Focal depth uncertainty: 10 km (preferred shallow model) to 35 km

Energy release: ~4 × 10¹² joules (~951 tons TNT equivalent)

Rupture scale: ~7 km fault length (first-order estimate)

This variance is normal in near-real-time seismic solutions and converges within acceptable uncertainty bounds.

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3. INTENSITY & GROUND SHAKING (MMI)

Maximum reported intensity:

MMI VI–VII (Strong to Very Strong) within ~10 km of epicenter

Dominant regional intensity:

MMI IV–V (Light to Moderate) across Guwahati, Nagaon, Tezpur, Shillong

Duration:

10–60 seconds reported, including rolling and lateral motion

Key insight: Shallow-source mechanics + sedimentary basin effects in the Brahmaputra valley significantly increased felt duration and perceptibility.

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4. HUMAN EXPOSURE & PUBLIC RESPONSE

Estimated population exposed: ~47.8 million

Felt reports: 330+ verified user reports

Peak reporting clusters: Guwahati, Dispur, Nagaon, Morigaon

Public feedback confirms:

Waking from sleep

Swinging beds

Rattling furniture

Audible subsurface rumbling
No large-scale panic or infrastructure failure observed.

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5. DAMAGE & RISK ASSESSMENT

USGS Alert Level: 🟢 GREEN

Expected fatalities:

65% probability of zero

100

Economic loss projection:

99.9% probability below USD 1 million

Structural context:
The region contains a mix of non-engineered masonry, adobe, and RCC structures. While damage remained minimal, vulnerability remains high for stronger future events.

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6. REGIONAL TECTONIC CONTEXT

This earthquake aligns with the Eastern Himalayan–Indo-Burma plate interaction zone, one of the most seismically complex regions in the world.

Historical benchmarks:

1943 Assam earthquake: M7.1

2021 Assam earthquake: M6.0

2025 Darrang earthquake: M5.8

Conclusion: The 2026 Morigaon event is not anomalous, but part of an active, stress-accumulating tectonic regime.

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7. AFTERSHOCK OUTLOOK

No confirmed aftershocks at reporting time

Statistically, M5+ events can generate smaller aftershocks over days to weeks

Public and local authorities should remain observant but calm

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8. STRATEGIC TAKEAWAYS

This was a high-awareness, low-damage seismic event

Demonstrates critical need for regional seismic transparency

Reinforces urgency for:

Dense sensor networks

Real-time early-warning pilots

Public risk communication

Building-code enforcement

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9. FINAL ASSESSMENT

The Morigaon–Dhing M5.2 earthquake serves as a clear operational reminder:
Northeast India is not earthquake-prone by chance—it is earthquake-prone by design of nature.

Preparedness, data-driven policy, and early-warning infrastructure are no longer optional—they are strategic necessities.

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Stay alert. Stay informed. Science saves lives.
— Earthquake Monitoring & Analysis Desk

02/01/2026

Earthquake Update | Situational Brief

🌏 M4.9 Seismic Event Recorded
📍 32 km NE of Shwebo, Myanmar (Burma)
🕒 01 Jan 2026 | 13:18:59 UTC (18:48 IST)
🌐 Epicenter: 22.8°N, 95.9°E
⬇️ Depth: ~10 km (shallow-focus event)
📊 Source: USGS
🗣️ Felt Reports: 5 user submissions

This moderate-magnitude, shallow earthquake aligns with active tectonic structures in the Indo-Burma region. No immediate damage escalation reported; continuous monitoring in progress.

31/12/2025

Commencing 2026 with a heightened emphasis on earthquake awareness, intelligent urban safety, and our cutting-edge Planetary AI software, which facilitates enhanced understanding and preparedness. Anticipating a year of more resilient communities and impactful innovation. Looking forward to a year of safer communities and meaningful innovation.

08/12/2025

Here, observe the ground motion (red: up, blue: down) across North America from the strong magnitude 7.0 Hubbard Glacier Earthquake yesterday (12/06/25), as detected by seismographs. Strong seismic waves first propagated across Alaska & Canada, then across the entire globe!

21/11/2025

5.7 Magnitude Earthquake in Bangladesh
November 21, 2025

Executive Summary
On November 21, 2025, a powerful earthquake with a magnitude ranging from 5.5–6.0 struck near Narsingdi, Bangladesh, 33–40 km east of Dhaka. The quake caused substantial panic across Bangladesh, West Bengal, and Northeast India. Official reports confirmed 3–6 fatalities and multiple injuries, primarily in Dhaka, due to partial building collapses and falling masonry. The quake lasted 10–26 seconds and affected millions, with aftershocks and risk of further damage highlighting Bangladesh's seismic vulnerability.

1. Earthquake Parameters and Specifications
Date and Time: November 21, 2025, 10:38am (BST); 10:08am (IST); duration 10–26 seconds.
Magnitude: 5.5 (USGS, EMSC), 5.7 (GFZ, BMD), 6.0 (Volcano Discovery).
Epicenter: Narsingdi District, near Madhabdi/Goshkhali (23°53′38″N, 90°34′44″E), depth 10 km.
Energy Release: Equivalent to 500–1000 tons TNT (M5.7).
Tectonic Setting: Intraplate; Indian Plate, 33–40 km east of Dhaka.

2. Felt Reports and Eyewitness Accounts
Personal Accounts:
“We felt a strong jolt and buildings were shaking like trees. The staircases were jammed as people rushed down. … I have never experienced such intense shaking in my life.”
“The furniture started shaking. We rushed down the stairs and saw others already on the street.”
In Kolkata, “I felt tremors and my bed moved significantly. I rushed out of my room immediately.”
Dhaka: Severe panic; buildings swayed, mass evacuation, reported intensity: MMI VI–VII.
Narsingdi: Strong movement, panic, MMI VI.
Kolkata: Noticeable shaking, objects rattled, MMI IV–V.
West Bengal/Northeast India: Light to moderate felt, little/no damage, MMI III–IV.

3. Statistics & Impact
Deaths: 3–6 confirmed in Dhaka (mainly from railing collapse and wall/roof falls).
1 child died in Narayanganj due to wall collapse.
Injured: Numerous, mainly due to falling bricks/scaffolds and panic.
Buildings:
Up to 50 structures with visible damage in Dhaka (cracks, partial collapses).
No full building collapses; 8-story and 7-story buildings reported cracks and leaning hazards but inspected and found safe.
Minor damage and spalling reported in various districts.
Fires broke out in at least one building; unclear if quake-related.
Population: 50–70 million felt the quake (MMI II+), with up to 20–35 million exposed to strong shaking (IV+).

4. Infrastructure & Economic Effects
Power: Temporary outages; no major failures.
Water & Telecom: Largely unaffected; short-term communication/fiber outages occurred.
Transport: Brief blockages from evacuations; essential services continued.
Market & Business: Stock trading halted briefly; malls and offices closed for safety.
Estimated Economic Loss:
Based on regional analogs and the density of the area, direct losses (in structures, response, lost productivity) are preliminarily estimated over $100 million USD, though formal assessments are ongoing.
Emergency Calls: Hundreds received in four hours post-shake.
Relief Response: Fire services, police, disaster units deployed city-wide.

6. Seismic Context
Faults: The area lies atop intra-plate fault lines, esp. Dauki Fault and Sylhet Fault.
Historic Events: Bengal has experienced major (M7+) earthquakes historically, with 2025 being the strongest in recent memory.
Preparedness: Government, NGOs, and international partners (including World Bank and UNDRR) are engaged in improving resilience and recovery speed.

APPENDIX
Official Damage List Examples (Dhaka Fire Service):
8-story: Plaster and bricks fell (minimal injury);
7-story: Leaning inspected and found safe;
Baridhara: Fire outbreak controlled by two units;
Kalabagan: Leaning building declared safe.
Key Terms Explained: Epicenter, magnitude/intensity, tectonic plate, aftershock, “Drop, Cover, Hold”.
Contacts:
Bangladesh Meteorological Dept.
USGS
National Center for Seismology (India)
Disaster emergency lines

Compiled November 21, 2025. Sources: Reuters, Times of India, Bangladesh Fire Service reports, UNDRR, World Bank, and additional seismic/scientific agencies.

01/09/2025

⚠️ BREAKING: Major Earthquake in Afghanistan** ⚠️

A **powerful earthquake** struck **Eastern Afghanistan** late on **31st August 2025**.

📍 **Epicenter:** Jalalabad, Nangarhar Province
📊 **Magnitude:** 6.0 (USGS) / 6.3 (NCS India)
📉 **Depth:** USGS: 8 km (shallow, stronger shaking) | NCS: 160 km
🕒 **Time:** 31 August 2025, 11:47 PM local (19:17 UTC)

🌍 Affected Areas:

*Very Strong Shaking (MMI VII):* Jalalabad, Mehtarlam, Asadabad
*Strong Shaking (MMI VI):* Eastern Afghanistan & northwestern Pakistan (incl. Peshawar)
*Moderate Shaking (MMI V):* Kabul, Islamabad region
*Light Shaking:* Felt across India (Delhi, Punjab, Himachal), Nepal

📰 Casualties:

👉According to local media and rescue teams, *around 600 people have been killed* so far.
👉 Hundreds injured, many houses destroyed.
👉 Rescue operations are ongoing, and the death toll is expected to rise.

🗺 Maps:

📌 *USGS ShakeMap*: Intense shaking near Jalalabad.
📌 *NCS India Map*: Tremors felt across Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, and Nepal.

🙏Our deepest condolences to the victims. International assistance is urgently needed.

28/03/2025

7.7 M Earthquake - 16 km NNW of Sagaing, Myanmar
Date & time Mar 28, 2025 06:20:54 UTC
Magnitude 7.7
Depth 10 km
Epicenter 22.0128°N / 95.9216°E Sitkaing, Sagaing, Myanmar (Burma)
With felt report and seismograph report

05/03/2025

On March 5, 2025, a Magnitude 5.6 earthquake was felt 44 km east of Yairipok, Manipur. The earthquake’s epicenter was located 10 km deep. Light to moderate shaking was reported in surrounding areas.

📌 Earthquake Details:
🔸 Time: 11:06 AM (IST)
🔸 Epicenter: Kamjong, Manipur
🔸 Depth: 10 km
🔸 Affected Areas: Imphal, Nagaland, Assam

Stay safe and stay updated. For more information, stay tuned to reliable sources and take necessary precautions! 💡

28/02/2025

*Felt earthquake: 5.5 quake 14 km S of Kodāri̇̄, Nepal , Time 02:16 IST*

17/02/2025

Seismic Activity Near New Delhi: A Technical Insight

Early this morning (February 17, 2025, at 05:36 IST), a magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded near New Delhi, India (Lat: 28.59, Long: 77.16) at a shallow depth of 5 km. While this may not be classified as a major quake, it highlights the seismic vulnerability of the Delhi-NCR region, which has historically experienced moderate to strong earthquakes due to its proximity to active fault lines.

Understanding the Seismic Risk in Delhi-NCR

The region is influenced by the movement of the Himalayan tectonic plates, where the Indian plate collides with the Eurasian plate, causing stress accumulation along multiple fault systems. Notable past events include:
✅ 2015 Nepal Earthquake (7.8) – Felt strongly in Delhi
✅ 2001 Bhuj Earthquake (7.7) – Impact reached parts of North India
✅ 1999 Chamoli Earthquake (6.8) – Strong tremors across NCR
✅ 1960s-80s Multiple Moderate Quakes – Ongoing regional seismicity

What This Means for Urban Safety

As the capital city continues to expand, it is crucial to:
🔹 Improve seismic resilience in infrastructure
🔹 Strengthen early warning systems
🔹 Promote public awareness & preparedness

At SeismicShield, we are actively working on earthquake early warning systems to mitigate risks and enhance safety measures. This event serves as a reminder that preparedness is key!

Have you felt the tremors? Share your experience in the comments!

07/01/2025

Catastrophic 7.1 Magnitude Earthquake Strikes Tibetan Plateau, Leaving Devastation in Its Wake

Summary of the Main Earthquake- On January 7, 2025, at 01:05:17 UTC, a powerful earthquake with a magnitude of 7.1 struck near the Nepal-Tibet border. The epicenter was located in Rikaze Diqu, Tibet, China, at a latitude of 28.639°N and longitude of 87.3608°E, approximately 82 km (51 miles) from Nepal and 108 km (67 miles) from India. The earthquake occurred at a shallow depth of 10 km, which likely amplified its surface impact.
Key Details of the Event:
Local Time at Epicenter: Tuesday, January 7, 2025, 09:05 AM (Asia/Shanghai GMT +8).
Shaking Intensity: Severe (VIII near the epicenter).
Reports of Being Felt: 316 confirmed reports from the affected regions.
Estimated Energy Release: Approximately 2.8 x 10¹⁵ joules (equivalent to 783 gigawatt hours, or 42.1 atomic bombs).
Seismic Antipode: Coordinates 28.639°S, 92.639°W
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) confirmed and manually revised the data for accuracy.
A powerful earthquake of magnitude 7.1 struck the remote Tibetan plateau near the Nepal border on Tuesday, leaving at least 126 dead and over 180 injured in its wake, news agency AFP reported. The tremor, which hit Tingri County in Tibet's Xigaze City, caused buildings to collapse, roads to fracture, and sent goods tumbling off supermarket shelves, sparking panic across the region. Dozens of aftershocks followed, further complicating rescue operations.
Seismic station: Tibet, China (LSA/IC network) | Distance from quake: 384 km / 239 mi

Aftershocks
This significant seismic event triggered a series of 40 aftershocks as of the report time, with details as follows:
Strongest Aftershock: A magnitude 5.1 quake occurred 8 minutes after the mainshock, located 72 km (22 miles) NE of Lobuche, Nepal. It struck at 09:13 AM (Shanghai local time).
Most Recent Aftershock: A magnitude 4.2 quake, recorded 14 hours ago, occurred in Xizang, China.
The persistence and strength of aftershocks indicate ongoing tectonic activity in the region, raising concerns for further seismic hazards.

Weather Conditions at the Time of the Earthquake
At the epicenter, the weather conditions during the earthquake were:
Temperature: −9.7°C (14°F)
Humidity: 79%
Wind: 1 m/s (2 knots), blowing from the southwest.
Sky Condition: Broken clouds.
These conditions posed challenges for emergency responses and rescue operations, especially in the high-altitude regions.

Impact Analysis
Potential Damage:
Given the shallow depth of 10 km and the magnitude of 7.1, the earthquake likely caused significant surface-level damage, particularly in areas close to the epicenter. The shaking intensity classified as VIII (Severe) suggests that buildings, infrastructure, and natural landscapes in the affected zones experienced considerable impacts.
Affected Regions:
Primary Impact Zone: Rikaze Diqu, Tibet, China.
Nearby Regions: Nepal (82 km away) and India (108 km away).
Population Impact:
The 316 confirmed felt reports show that the earthquake was widely felt across multiple regions. Communities in Nepal, Tibet, and northern India experienced strong tremors, leading to significant damage, including collapsed structures, fractured roads, and disrupted daily life. The severe shaking also triggered landslides and other hazards, amplifying the challenges for emergency response teams.

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