05/08/2026
July 2026: almost one million medium- and high-level attacks detected in a set of clients.
Most threat intelligence tells you what happened somewhere else, to someone else, at some point in the past. Intelligence generated from direct attacker interaction is different. It tells you what is happening right now, against your bespoke systems, from actors who are actively probing.
In July, Nothreat's Digital Twin layer recorded almost one million attack attempts across customer environments, filtered to medium and high severity only, excluding low-level noise, basic scanning, and automated bot traffic. What remained tells a clearer story.
Credential compromise was the dominant attack type. This wasn't broad scanning – it was focused, automated targeting of authentication endpoints across enterprise applications. Sustained campaigns using valid session tokens and pre-compiled credential sets suggest attackers are operating with data gathered from prior compromises, not conducting fresh reconnaissance.
The second largest category was Out-of-Band Callback Domain injection. These attacks don't look like attacks. They inject external domains into legitimate application flows to exfiltrate data or establish covert channels — exactly the kind of activity that bypasses signature-based detection.
Looking at MITRE ATT&CK mapping, Initial Access represented 35% of all tactics observed, followed by Credential Access at 16% (also partially included in Initial Access) and Command and Control at 11%. Attackers are focused on getting in through the window, not breaking through the front door.
One detail worth mentioning: a small number of LLM probe attempts were detected, specifically targeting AI inference endpoints and attempting to identify the underlying model and provider - a signal worth watching as AI infrastructure becomes a more common part of enterprise environments.
Every one of these signals came from attackers interacting with environments that looked real. The data reflects actual attacker behaviour, tooling, and intent, not simulated scenarios or aggregated feeds.
Signal quality determines decision quality. July's data makes that case clearly.